February was a record month for the Sporting Value
portfolio, both in terms of profit and turnover. In all just short of £3000 was
made on turnover of over £60000. This is now four months in the black in a row
and most bets are now put on in confidence, rather than dread. Again the
performance would have been even stronger if I hadn’t of added extra services
back in January but it is all a learning curve and I am now very much of the
opinion that turnover is crucial to long term success.
So lets see how everyone has got on in February:
|
Rank
|
Tipster
|
Staked
|
P/L
|
ROI
|
ROC
|
|
1
|
Football
Investor
|
134
|
41.3
|
31%
|
41%
|
|
2
|
The
Football Analyst
|
163
|
24.1
|
15%
|
24%
|
|
3
|
Football
Elite
|
47
|
11.2
|
24%
|
22%
|
|
4
|
Laurent
Marty
|
22.5
|
1.5
|
7%
|
3%
|
|
5
|
Narrow
Victories
|
27
|
0.7
|
3%
|
2%
|
|
6
|
Tennis
Ratings
|
18.7
|
-0.7
|
-4%
|
-1%
|
|
7
|
Club
Gowi
|
134
|
-3.7
|
-3%
|
-5%
|
|
8
|
Skeeve
|
33
|
-8
|
-24%
|
-10%
|
|
9
|
Summer
of Football
|
20
|
-7.4
|
-37%
|
-19%
|
|
10
|
FLB DR
|
63.5
|
-16.6
|
-26%
|
-33%
|
As you can see the shining stars were the ratings services,
with Football Investor making more profit for me than I got in total. Over
£3300 and 41% ROC in a month is incredible work. The one that has caused me
most anguish has been Football Form Labs Daily Report, which followed a poor
opening month with a terrible second.
Overall, since August, the portfolio has bet over £228000
and now has a healthy looking profit of £5860. ROI has risen from 2% to around
3% and ROC is into double figures, 10% on theoretical allocated banks in full,
and 13% on the leveraged amount.
|
Rank
|
Tipster
|
Staked
|
P/L
|
ROI
|
ROC
|
|
1
|
Football
Investor
|
541
|
85.6
|
16%
|
86%
|
|
2
|
Narrow
Victories
|
184
|
9.95
|
5%
|
25%
|
|
3
|
Summer
of Football
|
129
|
7.2
|
6%
|
18%
|
|
4
|
The
Football Analyst
|
880
|
13.8
|
2%
|
14%
|
|
5
|
Laurent
Marty
|
100
|
4.45
|
4%
|
9%
|
|
6
|
Tennis
Ratings
|
71
|
3.68
|
5%
|
7%
|
|
7
|
Football
Elite
|
184
|
1.05
|
1%
|
2%
|
|
8
|
Club
Gowi
|
171
|
-4.3
|
-3%
|
-6%
|
|
9
|
Skeeve
|
155
|
-31.5
|
-20%
|
-39%
|
|
10
|
FLB DR
|
92
|
-23.1
|
-25%
|
-46%
|
Sporting Value Confidence Ratings (last months rating in
brackets)
Football Investor – 4 (4)
I think this is probably the best month I have ever had with
a tipster, and Stewboss just keeps turning it on. Whichever way one looks at
the figures, they all seem rosy.
|
System
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profit
|
ROI
|
|
Combo
|
48
|
5120
|
2151.2
|
42%
|
|
SZ
|
68
|
5440
|
792
|
15%
|
|
TFE
|
4
|
160
|
360
|
225%
|
|
Grand
Total
|
120
|
10720
|
3303.2
|
31%
|
Combo has been the real star, but the safe Strike Zone Plus
bets keep chugging along and the Top Flight Euro big pricers produced again. I
even missed one priced at around 6!
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profit
|
ROI
|
|
|
Away
|
75
|
5920
|
3132
|
53%
|
|
Home
|
45
|
4800
|
171.2
|
4%
|
|
Grand
Total
|
120
|
10720
|
3303.2
|
31%
|
Despite a strong start to the home bets, it was the Aways
that made this month with a 53% ROI on 75 bets – that is incredible in my book.
|
League
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profits
|
ROI
|
|
Championship
|
26
|
2880
|
422.4
|
15%
|
|
Conference
|
2
|
160
|
-80
|
-50%
|
|
La Liga
|
6
|
400
|
0
|
0%
|
|
League
1
|
21
|
1840
|
1491.2
|
81%
|
|
League
2
|
46
|
3680
|
1336.8
|
36%
|
|
Ligue 1
|
2
|
160
|
-80
|
-50%
|
|
Premiership
|
9
|
960
|
509.6
|
53%
|
|
Scots
Prem
|
3
|
240
|
-64.8
|
-27%
|
|
Serie A
|
5
|
400
|
-232
|
-58%
|
|
Grand
Total
|
120
|
10720
|
3303.2
|
31%
|
Again it has been the main 4 leagues of England that have
stormed through, especially Leagues 1 and 2. My only reservation about Football
Investor bets is the Strike Zone European bets, but everyone seems to have
struggled with the big Euro leagues this year.
The Football Analyst – 3.5 (3.5)
I mentioned last month that TFA had sneaked into the black
before dropping back into losses but I can now confirm that it is a profitable
service for the season so far.
|
League
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profit
|
ROI
|
Sacrifice
|
|
Bsq
Prem
|
13
|
1590
|
-13.7
|
-1%
|
80
|
|
Championship
|
13
|
1760
|
149.6
|
9%
|
200
|
|
League
1
|
22
|
3580
|
1177.6
|
33%
|
-972.8
|
|
League
2
|
30
|
4040
|
820.8
|
20%
|
20
|
|
Premiership
|
15
|
1840
|
-308
|
-17%
|
540
|
|
SPL
|
2
|
240
|
104
|
43%
|
0
|
|
Grand
Total
|
95
|
13050
|
1930.3
|
15%
|
-132.8
|
Like FI, the big gains were made in League 1 and League 2,
and again it was aways that produced the bulk of the profits.
|
1X2
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profit
|
ROI
|
Sacrifice
|
|
Away
|
47
|
5960
|
1399.2
|
19%
|
-1008
|
|
Draw
|
15
|
2080
|
196.8
|
9%
|
0
|
|
Home
|
33
|
5010
|
334.3
|
6%
|
875.2
|
|
Grand
Total
|
95
|
13050
|
1930.3
|
13%
|
-132.8
|
Saying that, I must credit the draw bets for smoothing out
the whole experience of following Graeme’s bets in the last couple of months.
In fact I have now added D2-D6 and D2-D7 to my portfolio, but will only stake a
maximum of two points on a single draw.
As you can see, I have given away £132 by limiting the
number of system bets to 4 with the homes and draws (from a possible 13) to
much success this year, but I am beginning to see I may need to limit the homes
more (as they are already double staked) and give the aways a little more
wiggle room. I am not sure if I will do so during this season, and how, but
will take it into account for next. While I ‘saved’ £875 by not betting over
£320 on a single home bet, I ‘lost’ just over a grand by limiting away bets to
£160. Maybe a compromise of £240 on each could be the solution!
Football Elite – 3 (3)
The best month of the season for Matt, over at Football
Elite, and while there is still a feeling around the blogo/twittersphere that
this is one to drop for next season, I am finding myself regaining confidence.
I must admit I am a bit of a sucker for his emails in times
of trouble. Like Graeme and Stewboss he puts the current situation in context
of long term results and the data is usually convincing.
|
League/type
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profits
|
ROI
|
|
Bundesliga
|
9
|
1080
|
228
|
21%
|
|
DNB
|
3
|
360
|
612
|
170%
|
|
Win
|
6
|
720
|
-384
|
-53%
|
|
La Liga
|
7
|
840
|
126
|
15%
|
|
1X
|
1
|
120
|
210
|
175%
|
|
Win
|
6
|
720
|
-84
|
-12%
|
|
Ligue 1
|
12
|
1440
|
318
|
22%
|
|
DNB
|
2
|
240
|
-120
|
-50%
|
|
Win
|
10
|
1200
|
438
|
37%
|
|
Prem
League
|
14
|
1680
|
864
|
51%
|
|
1X
|
1
|
120
|
300
|
250%
|
|
DNB
|
8
|
960
|
780
|
81%
|
|
Win
|
5
|
600
|
-216
|
-36%
|
|
Serie A
|
5
|
600
|
-198
|
-33%
|
|
DNB
|
1
|
120
|
282
|
235%
|
|
Win
|
4
|
480
|
-480
|
-100%
|
|
Grand
Total
|
47
|
5640
|
1338
|
24%
|
Again, most of the profits have come when he has taken on
big names and taken an element of cover with the draw. Win only bets are still
running at quite a loss but seem to be coming round. Certainly the first
weekend in March saw more progress with these bets, so it could still be
variance.
|
League/Type
|
Bets
|
Profit
|
|
Bundesliga
|
32
|
450
|
|
1X
|
1
|
-120
|
|
DNB
|
10
|
714
|
|
Win
|
21
|
-144
|
|
La Liga
|
26
|
-36
|
|
1X
|
2
|
450
|
|
DNB
|
1
|
-120
|
|
Win
|
23
|
-366
|
|
Ligue 1
|
46
|
759.6
|
|
1X
|
2
|
30
|
|
DNB
|
2
|
-120
|
|
Win
|
42
|
849.6
|
|
Prem
League
|
50
|
-48
|
|
1X
|
1
|
300
|
|
DNB
|
27
|
654
|
|
Win
|
22
|
-1002
|
|
Serie A
|
36
|
-822
|
|
DNB
|
9
|
534
|
|
Win
|
27
|
-1356
|
|
Grand
Total
|
190
|
303.6
|
|
Type
|
Bets
|
Profit
|
|
1X
|
6
|
660
|
|
DNB
|
49
|
1662
|
|
Win
|
135
|
-2018.4
|
|
Grand
Total
|
190
|
303.6
|
Looking at the season as a whole, 1X and DNB selections have
made over £2300 profit at nearly 35% ROI. Win only bets are much more plentiful and
losing 15% ROI.
Football Elite has scraped into profit for the season as a
whole, so lets hope that this momentum keeps us going in the right direction.
Laurent Marty – 3 (3)
I mentioned last time that my subscription was due to run
out in April, unfortunately it is actually March 8th. With this in
mind I have included the bets from the 1st of this month as I am
pretty positive I will not be renewing. This is not to say Laurent isn’t a
talented tipster, it is mainly due to the fact that Betadvisor subs are so
goddam expensive and there isn’t the turnover to justify paying that price.
February had just 24 bets, averaging out at around 20 a month. This is OK if
ROI is high but single figures aren’t enough for me.
Sorry Laurent, I’m out.
Narrow Victories – 3 (3)
No table topping performance from me this month, but a
slight profit shouldn’t be sniffed at. Losing a third Stan James account won’t
help, as they were usually well priced on the EH-1 Draw, neither will BetButler
limiting a few selections, but I am carrying on.
Overall profit has now reached the £1000 mark, which doesn’t
seem a lot for the hours put in, but it is a fine educational process.
|
League
|
Bets
|
Profit
|
ROI
|
|
Belgium
|
4
|
234
|
59%
|
|
Bundesliga
|
3
|
-74
|
-25%
|
|
Championship
|
1
|
-100
|
-100%
|
|
Copa
Del Rey
|
1
|
153
|
153%
|
|
Croatia
|
1
|
102
|
102%
|
|
La Liga
|
3
|
-300
|
-100%
|
|
Ligue 1
|
1
|
-100
|
-100%
|
|
Portugal
|
5
|
112
|
22%
|
|
Premier
|
4
|
20
|
5%
|
|
Serie A
|
2
|
13
|
7%
|
|
Turkey
|
1
|
-100
|
-100%
|
|
A
League
|
1
|
108
|
108%
|
|
Grand
Total
|
27
|
68
|
Tennis Ratings – 3 (3)
A flat month with relatively low turnover. This is not
surprising as there were no Grand Slam or Masters series events and Dan does
not bet on Davis Cup or Fed Cup. It will be interesting to see what sort of
levels of turnover Indian Wells and Miami produce this month.
I also dipped my toe into trading this month. Two out of
three trades were profitable and the third lost me peanuts, but it is quite
time consuming and stressful. It is also exhilarating and I really believe
Dan’s data gives a real edge, so am definitely looking to do more.
ClubGowi – 3 (3)
Two losing months to begin with is never the best
introduction to a tipster, but on the whole I am happy to be following the
service. There are issues, namely the availability of prices in smaller leagues
and also the lack of analysable results, but the turnover is certainly there,
and more than enough evidence of expertise.
|
Sport/League
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profit
|
|
Football
|
96
|
12111.5
|
-170
|
|
England
|
|||
|
Ch
|
8
|
1050
|
-191
|
|
Cup
|
2
|
275
|
286.25
|
|
EPL
|
16
|
1701.5
|
-32.25
|
|
L1
|
5
|
675
|
-350
|
|
L2
|
4
|
500
|
-425
|
|
Europe
|
|||
|
UCL
|
5
|
625
|
-85
|
|
UEL
|
7
|
950
|
-537.5
|
|
France
|
|||
|
Cup
|
5
|
410
|
460.75
|
|
FL1
|
10
|
1550
|
103.75
|
|
FL2
|
15
|
1950
|
167.5
|
|
Italy
|
|||
|
Cup
|
2
|
275
|
25
|
|
SA
|
11
|
1350
|
-152.25
|
|
Spain
|
|||
|
Cup
|
3
|
350
|
428
|
|
LL
|
3
|
450
|
131.75
|
|
Golf
|
12
|
1150
|
-371.25
|
|
USA
|
|||
|
PGA
|
8
|
725
|
-725
|
|
WMP
|
4
|
425
|
353.75
|
|
NFL
|
1
|
150
|
172.5
|
|
USA
|
|||
|
NFL
|
1
|
150
|
172.5
|
|
Grand
Total
|
109
|
13411.5
|
-368.75
|
I have been particularly impressed with Keith’s tipping in
domestic cup matches, which he seems to play with a very strong ‘motivation’
factor to the fore.
Skeeve – 2.5 (2.5)
A fantastic first weekend in March does not hide what has been
a poor February (and January, and season as a whole). I do have many thoughts
about Skeeve’s service that I have hinted at but am going to hold these for
another post as he seems to be on the war path at the moment! I think there is
a very interesting debate to be had about pricing, adding new services and what
we are paying for, which I know Steve at Daily25.com has started. Having
written about 2000 words this morning already, my mind isn’t quite there to add
my bit at present.
Summer of Football –
3 (3.5)
Not a pretty couple of months for James, but we are still in
profit, I have ummed and aahed about a small downgrade due to being a little wary of the memories of last Spring. Ligue 2 seems to be main
offender but there were very few hiding places in the data.
|
League
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profit
|
|
|
A
League
|
4
|
600
|
-30
|
-5%
|
|
Championship
|
2
|
300
|
-225
|
-75%
|
|
EPL
|
4
|
600
|
-176.25
|
-29%
|
|
France
2
|
9
|
1350
|
-607.5
|
-45%
|
|
La Liga
|
1
|
150
|
-75
|
-50%
|
|
Grand
Total
|
20
|
3000
|
-1113.75
|
-37%
|
|
Type
|
Bets
|
Stakes
|
Profit
|
|
AH-
|
10
|
1500
|
-858.75
|
|
AH+
|
6
|
900
|
41.25
|
|
Goals
|
4
|
600
|
-296.25
|
Analysing the type of bets didn’t help much either, so lets hope this
weekend’s 2/2 indicates a return to form.
Football Form Labs Daily Reports – 2 (2.5)
I’m afraid this experiment hasn’t gone well so far. In less
than two months I have blown away just short of half the bank. The poor numbers
are slightly exaggerated by the way I
played them: I ignored clashes with established services (FLB did well on those
bets resulting in a double whammy) and played 0.5pt bets, when more than 1 per
match, as whole points (they did not)!
To cap it off, Fiden’s announced their best weekend ever in
the midst of the carnage. Now I have, mistakenly it seems, always considered
this as a Fiden’s lite product where I can get the turnover and particularly
the O/U bets to compliment my portfolio but now feeling this is a bit naïve of
me.
So what to do now, well surprisingly I am still considering
Fidens as an investment, but still as part of the portfolio and am still
playing the O/U bets as they rarely clash with other selections. I will share my
thoughts very soon as part of a turnover vs. profit post.
Like last month, have now run out of steam so will plan to
write further this month on issues other than a profit report. Areas I want to
look at, as well as the turnover issue mentioned earlier, are bookmakers – both
good and bad and trading.
Good luck to you all.
